SEMINARS

"Adaptive Decisionmaking and Cooperative Management of Uncertain Climate Change"
The UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) demands stabilization of atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations at levels that prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. Long-term climate policy requires an unprecedented degree of international cooperation to speed up emission reductions and technological change in the energy sector, despite a range of fundamental uncertainties. Extending the established optimal control approach, adaptive decisionmaking and management allow to adjust to the knowledge about the state of the climate system, the available energy technology, the selected targets and the policies of other actors. To allow for a qualitative assessment and viability analysis, a basic climate model is coupled to an economic production function, adjusted by estimated costs and damages and using investment strategies and emission reduction policies to shape alternative energy paths. Probabilistic emission scenarios take into account previous data and the future time horizon for decision-making, and are tested against variation of crucial parameters, in particular carbon intensity, climate sensitivity and discount rates.

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Dalia Patiño Echeverri
CDMC Postdoctoral Fellow
Dalia attended the 3rd Annual Climate Change Research Conference on Sept. 13-15 in Sacramento and will give a presentation of the speakers and her impressions.
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Constantine Samaras
CDMC Graduate Student
Costa will speak on his experiences at the Ninth World Renewable Energy Congress held in Florence, Italy from August 19-25. He will talk about new research that was presented in several areas of renewable energy and policy and share resources and thoughts on potential future research areas in renewable energy.
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Elmar Kriegler
Post-Doc/Visiting Scholar
University of Potsdam, Germany
Carnegie Mellon University

Evaluating CO2 mitigation options for the 21st century ? insights from the model MIND

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Chris E. Forest
Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change
Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences
Massachusetts Institute of Technology

"Estimated PDFs of climate system properties including natural and anthropogenic forcings and implications for 21st century climate change predictions."

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Shannon Hagerman and
Dr. Hadi Dowlatabadi
Institute for Resources, Environment and Sustainability
University of British Columbia
http://www.ires.ubc.ca/nav.php?page=about

What! Biodiversity set-asides are powerless against climate change?

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Dr. Peter Adams, Assistant Professor
Carnegie Mellon University CEE/EPP
http://www.ce.cmu.edu/~adams/people.htm

"Effects of airborne particles on climate: an expert elicitation"
M. Granger Morgan, Peter J. Adams, and David W. Keith

PPT file

Dr. Virginia H. Dale
Environmental Sciences Division
Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Oak Ridge, Tennessee 37831-6036
http://www.esd.ornl.gov/people/dale/dale.html

"Analyzing Land-Use Changes at Different Scales in Central Georgia"

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Roland W. Scholz
Chair of Natural and Social Interface
Institute for Human Environment Systems,
Department of Environmental Sciences
Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH Zurich)
http://www.uns.ethz.ch/people/hs/scholzr/

"Experts' Consensus Building on Technology Risks"

Information about the Natural and Social Science Interface (UNS)
http://www.uns.umnw.ethz.ch

PPT.file

Constantine Samaras
Doctoral Student
Carnegie Mellon University
Engineering and Public Policy
http://www.andrew.cmu.edu/user/csamaras/

"Technical Advancements and Public Policies Affecting Wind Power's Past, Present and Future."

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Steve McNulty
Project Leader
USDA Forest Service
Southern Global Change Program
"Global Change Certainty across Southeastern United States Ecosystems: Impacts and Implications"

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Joshuah Stolaroff, Carnegie Mellon University, PhD Student
David Keith University of Calgary Professor

"Contactor Energy requirements for capturing CO2 from ambient air using sodium hydroxide solution determined in a pilot-scale prototype system"

JS pdf file ----- DK pdf file

Michael Mastrandrea
Stanford University

"Probabilistic Assessment of "Dangerous" Climate Change and Emissions Pathways"

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Adam R. Brandt and Alexander E. Farrell
Energy and Resources Group
University of California, Berkeley

"Scraping the Bottom of the Barrel: Uncertainties in future CO2 Emission Scenarios due to Possible Transitions to Low-Quality and Synthetic Petroleum Resources"

PDF.file

Elmar Kriegler
Department for Integrated Systems Analysis
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany

"Imprecise probability analysis for Integrated Assessment of Climate Change"

PDF.file

Stephen E. Schwartz
Senior Scientist, Atmospheric Sciences Division
Brookhaven National Laboratory

"Radiative Forcing of Climate Change by Aerosols: Why this is so important and how well it needs to be known"

PDF.File

Aimee Curtright, Post-Doc Fellow, EPP - Climate Decision Making Center
David Keith, Canada Research Chair in Energy and the Environment,
University of Calgary
Costa Samaras, PhD Student, EPP - Climate Decision Making Center

NREL Site Visit Overview

PPT File

Arthur Mason
University of California Berkeley
Anthropology

"The Image of Progress on Developing Alaska's Natural Gas Pipeline"

PPT.File